Researcher One in eight people has type 2 diabetes in 2045

Can the massive increase of type 2 diabetes be stopped?

Type 2 diabetes is a widespread disease at the present time. Doctors and health authorities have long been trying to stop the spread of this disease. However, researchers now found that the global rates of the disease will continue to massively increase due to increasing obesity. About one in eight people will have type 2 diabetes by the year 2045.

Researchers at University College London found in their current research that global rates of type 2 diabetes will increase massively by 2045. This will have a serious impact on health systems. The physicians will present the results of their current study at the European Congress on Obesity in Vienna.

In the future, more and more people will develop type 2 diabetes. This is often due to an unhealthy diet and lack of exercise. These factors lead to obesity and obesity, which in turn favors Type 2 diabetes. (Image: Creativa Images / fotolia.com)

Obesity must be combated

One in eight people in the world will have type 2 diabetes by 2045, with obesity continuing to rise at the current rate, experts say. The global rates for the disease will increase from nine percent to 14 percent. This will have serious consequences for health systems. For this reason, every effort should be made to combat the increasing obesity, the scientists emphasize.

14 percent of the world's population is obese

Last year, 14 percent of the world's population was obese and nine percent of people had type 2 diabetes. By 2045, however, 22 percent will be obese, the scientists speculated. In addition, 14 percent of people will suffer from type 2 diabetes. The impact of the growing numbers of these diseases is extremely serious for health systems in each country. Diabetes UK estimates that the NHS already spends £ 14 billion a year on the disease, or about 10 percent of its budget. People with diabetes need special medical monitoring, treatment and care for the serious potential complications that may even include amputations and blindness, the scientists cite by the English-language newspaper "The Guardian".

Program to accelerate fight against diabetes

To prevent the type 2 diabetes rates from rising above ten percent, obesity needs to be reduced by about a quarter. There is already a program to accelerate the worldwide fight against diabetes, researchers say. This program started in 2014 in eight cities. These include: Copenhagen, Rome, Houston, Johannesburg, Vancouver, Mexico City, Tianjin and Shanghai. There are already seven other cities participating in the program: Beijing, Buenos Aires, Hangzhou, Koriyama, Leicester, Merida and Xiamen.

Healthcare costs will increase enormously

The high levels of disease underscore the daunting challenge that people around the world face in the future when it comes to the numbers of people who are overweight, have type 2 diabetes, or even both, the study authors say. In addition to the medical challenges faced by these people, the costs to the health systems of the countries will increase enormously.

Obesity is a challenge for society

The global prevalence of obesity and diabetes is expected to increase dramatically if the prevention of obesity is not significantly increased. Developing effective global programs to reduce obesity is the best way to sustainably slow or stabilize the prevalence of diabetes, explain the physicians. The first step must be the recognition of the challenge that obesity poses to today's society.

55 percent of people in the US soon become obese?

The researchers have already calculated the likely increase in obesity for individual countries. With current trends in the US continuing, obesity will rise from 39 percent in 2017 to 55 percent in 2045. In addition, the rate of diabetes will increase from 14 percent to 18 percent. To keep the rate of diabetes in the US stable between 2017 and the year 2045, obesity would have to be reduced from 38 percent to 28 percent today.

There is no single approach for all countries

In the UK, current trends predict that obesity will rise from 32 percent today to 48 percent in 2045, while diabetes morbidity rates will increase from 10.2 percent to 12.6 percent, an increase of 28 percent , To stabilize the British rate of diabetes at ten percent, the prevalence of obesity would have to be reduced from 32 percent to 24 percent. Each country is different due to the unique genetic, social and environmental conditions. Therefore, there is no single approach that works for all countries, the scientists explain. That's why individual countries need to work on the best strategy for them. The true flood of diabetes diseases in the future could still be averted. However, this will require aggressive and coordinated action to reduce obesity. (As)